Last Word
I have been involved in the Australian venture capital industry
since it began about 1983. I wrote an article for the first
issue of the Australian Venture Capital Journal in
1992. In June 2002 I was invited to contribute one of nine
special articles for the 10th anniversary issue.
The editor, Victor Bivell, said in the introduction to a special
section,
"To
celebrate our 10th anniversary issue, Australian Venture
Capital Journal invited some of Australia’s most
experienced venture capitalists to participate in a Venture
Capital Round Table.
"The first eight writers are all well known venture
capitalists: each in their own right is a founder and pioneer
of the industry, and each has made a unique contribution
to the development of the industry.
"The final writer, Gordon Pender, while not a venture
capitalist, has been involved with the industry since it
began. Mr Pender wrote the first feature article published
in the first issue of Australian Venture Capital Journal,
and thus it seems fitting, 10 years on, to give him the
final word.
The Very Model of a Modern Memorandum
Ten years ago I wrote an article for the first number of
the Australian Venture Capital Journal. It bemoaned
the lack of equity capital for small businesses and start-ups.
Things have improved a lot. There are more funds, and lots
of eager young MBAs both producing and reviewing investment
proposals. So my diatribe of 1992 does not warrant a re-run.
Rather, to mark Victor’s magnificent achievement over
ten years of publishing this august journal, it seems appropriate
to celebrate the role of those who prepare the investment
proposals that are the life blood of the venture capital industry,
of whom I am one.
Writers of investment proposals are the unsung heroes of wealth
creation. They drove the booms in investment in each decade
since the 1970s, then enjoyed quiet holidays during the boring
corrections that followed. They reached their zenith in the
new millennium, in the IT industries internationally and in
rural managed investment schemes in Australia. Their work
has generated interest even from the regulators.
Before the most recent correction, I attended a seminar on
such wealth creation. It was an evangelical experience! Angels
dropped in to share their exalted views. I was mortified to
learn they did not worship business plans produced by mortals
like me. They needed only a short, illuminating summary to
determine which investments would yield their target return
of just 20 times in two years.
Their omniscience was confirmed by connection to telcos whose
value was truly out of this world. I understand that authorities
are now investigating some of those miracles, presumably to
edify the angels and punters of the next decade.
Meanwhile, we business planners and investment proposal writers
have resumed our rightful role. Who else, I ask you, can ascribe
a multi-million dollar value to a business with no income,
no assets and negative net worth, but lots and lots of potential.
We, I submit, create much more wealth than all the processing
plants in Redfern. Or in the country, for that matter. But
modern venture managers no longer venture beyond Redfern,
whereas they used to roam nearly to the Blue Mountains.
Investment proposal writers are the true value-adders in our
economy. Their comparison with other sorts of adders is hurtful.
They should be revered, not reviled, and the (added) value
of their work celebrated, not denigrated.
Their most redeeming feature is modesty. It is set out for
all to see in the Disclaimer on the first page. They take
no credit for any of the information that follows.
I admire modesty. Someone once kindly suggested I have much
to be modest about.
My contribution to Victor’s decade of achievement is
a model for the ubiquitous document that underpins our industry:
Business Plan, Information Memorandum, Prospectus, or whatever.
It highlights some innovative and clever facets of these documents
that have emerged in recent times, within the excellent trade
we ploy.
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Information Memorandum for Rock Plants Limited
Disclaimer
The owners, shareholders, employees, lawyers, accountants,
auditors, relations and hangers-on of Rock Plants Limited
(RPL or the Company) totally deny any responsibility for the
information in this document. We just made it up.
By opening the envelope containing this publication, you undertake
to keep confidential all the information herein, and any other
scuttlebutt not in the public domain, and to indemnify all
of us from any resulting suit, loss of income, or hair.
This document is not an offer of securities, even though we
would really like you to buy some. They are a hell of a good
investment, if just a tad speculative.
This is an excluded offer under Section 708 of the Corporations
Law because it is distributed with the 10th anniversary edition
of the Australian Venture Capital Journal. Everyone
knows that all Victor’s readers are not only professional
and sophisticated, with lots of money, but also kind and generous.
You just could not find nicer people to be on your Board.
Disclosure
The kindly folk who put this document together are entitled
to some humungous fees. An initial fee of $100,000 is payable,
despite the fact that all the work was done by Gordon Pender
and Company in preparing the Business Plan, for little reward.
The fee is capitalised in the forecast as non-Intellectual
Property. A complex web of success and trailing fees amounts
to about 10% of the capital to be raised. It is excluded from
the projections so as not to diminish the underlying profitability
of the business, on which the extravagant valuation is based.
Purpose
The purpose of the plan is to:
-
Attract equity capital of $5 million for just 5% of the
shares of the company
-
Secure a bank loan of $2 million, secured by a first
charge over the intangible asset
-
Initiate a feeding frenzy among state and local government
authorities to supply soft loans and grants in order to
locate the business in their area
-
Facilitate a loan of $10 million from the federal government’s
Elaborate Support for Trade and Industry Concessional
Loans (ELASTIC Loans) program
-
and make lots of money for the promoters.
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Rock Plant Technology
The Rock Plant™ is a fabulous innovation by
Australian biotechnologists involving genetic modification
of eggplants. The trendy gourmet vegetable aubergine
has been modified by inserting DNA from a compatible rock
into the egg that is the progenitor of the plant. The resulting
Rock Plant™ is itself a gourmet delicacy, but
has more body and significantly longer shelf life than the
humble eggplant it resembles in appearance. It has many other
exciting uses, and can be produced at much lower cost.
Products
Research by a leading Australian university (refer Disclaimer)
has demonstrated that the Rock Plant™ has unique
nutriceutical properties. It has the potential both to cure
cancer and enhance sexual performance (if we can just change
the colour).
The Rock Plant™ can also be used to produce
conventional rock cakes and, in an exciting new development, Rock’n’rolls ™ (patent pending),
that are set to replace hamburgers as the preferred fast food
of the health-unconscious majority.
Now we have developed Plastirock – a new material
for immobilising intractable waste. Plastirock will
bind corrosive and poisonous wastes so that they can be "safely"
dumped somewhere in central Australia. It has an expected
half-life significantly greater than that of the scientists
and politicians promoting its use.
Marketing
-
The company’s marketing plan for its products is
elegant and simple.
-
Negotiations are "approaching completion"
with major supermarket chains to sell fresh Rock Plants
using the catchy promotion, "Eat this, or you’ll
die".
-
Rock Cakes are poised to become a major international
fast food phenomenon. Market penetration will begin in
Australia. As production costs decrease with economies
of scale (see innovative spreadsheet attached), export
markets will be developed, first in Asia and then in America
and Europe.
-
The potential market for Plastirock is enormous.
It is as big as a black hole – a phrase also used
to describe the likely cost of its development. It will
enhance synergy and reduce inherent risks, being an industrial
market negatively correlated with the prime target retail
and wholesale markets. [Who writes this stuff?]
The Driving Force
The Rock Cake Company is the brainchild of Fred Gecko –
a distinguished Australian farmer and businessman. Fred was
a winner of the Bond Medallion for Entrepreneurs. His elder
brother, Gordon, was a Wall Street legend in the 1980s. Fred
has an international reputation for developing businesses
that add value to Australian primary production. Most notable
was his effort to transform wallabies, prematurely turned
off (as they say) on the roads of Wallaby Island, into the
international gourmet success story, Sundried Wallaby.
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Valuation
The present value of the business has been conservatively
estimated using the "sum of discounted future cash flows"
methodology imprinted on the brain of every business school
graduate, and now widely adopted by the firms that employ
them.
To the conservative estimate of NPBTDA for year 55 has been
applied an earnings multiple of 103.764. That figure was carefully
calculated from a selection of those in our super-comprehensive
data base of NASDAQ multiples for (the very few) companies
(that had any earnings) during a period of similar development
during the year 2000 (most of whom are now history). Trust
us.
The appropriate discount rate [based on a precedent in a real
IM which used, for a start-up company, the cost of capital
for an established multi-million dollar business in the same
industry] is 12%.
Answer: $100 million. Please refer to Disclaimer if you have
a problems with this.
The Deal
We propose to offer five shares at $1 million each –
a modest premium to NTA – and half a seat on the Board.
We acknowledge that venture managers prefer instruments other
than boring ordinary shares, such as convertible, redeemable,
(disposable?) notes, preferably with a nice interest rate.
Such instruments have been popular since the 1980s when, at
the height of the "recession we had to have", innocent
investee companies were paying 20% pa for their equity, and
just 16% on their debt.
Surprisingly, a few survived. That experience encouraged venture
fund managers in their fascination with convertible instruments.
Their collective wisdom somehow fails to tell them that paying
interest on equity is not sound. Though they are "patient
investors", their own masters still demand a running
yield. Silly, isn’t it?
The proposed deal is therefore negotiable. We deferentially
acknowledge that the Golden Rule applies: he or she who has
the gold, makes the rules. T’was ever thus.
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Recommendation
Buy! Don’t miss this opportunity. This one is bigger
than Looked Smart at the time.
Investments can be made only on the form not attached to the
Prospectus.
Forward cheques to gp@gordonpender.com.
Gordon Pender has been writing business
plans since venture capital was discovered in Australia in
the 1980s. He is writing a book on business planning.
Contact
© 2006 Gordon Pender and Company Pty Ltd
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